Enter your holdings and see which of them are the same bet, what a shared adverse move would mean for the book in currency, and where Fahali declines to answer. Read-only: it observes and scores, it never routes an order.
That your positions are fewer bets than they look. The expensive surprise is rarely one name — it is discovering after the move that six holdings were the same exposure wearing different tickers. Fahali watches the couplings between what you own and tells you when they tighten, so the cheap responses are still available.
Enter tickers and sizes, or connect a broker read-only. What comes back is about your book, not about the market in general.
Which holdings move together, measured pair by pair through tail dependence rather than assumed from a sector label.
What a shared adverse move of a stated size would mean for this book, in currency — with the scenario attached. A conditional figure, never a forecast of the move itself.
Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall computed from the book's own return series, not from a risk score rescaled by a constant. Both are historical measurements, not predictions.
Each verdict carries its evidence split into measured and proxy, what was missing, the confidence scale, the invalidation condition and a provenance hash — structured for review, not just for reading.
It says so, and says why. A risk tool that always has an answer is not measuring anything — it is generating one. When the evidence conflicts, Fahali declines to assign a direction and reports what is missing and what would change the answer. When too little of your book has usable price history to stand behind a loss figure, it abstains rather than extrapolating from the fragment it does have.
That restraint is the product, not a limitation of it. An absent number is reported as absent — never replaced with a plausible-looking one, which is the failure mode that makes risk software dangerous rather than merely unhelpful.
Every call is registered with its direction and horizon before the outcome exists, then judged against realized price when the horizon elapses — including when it was wrong. The judged record is public and needs no key: app.fahaliai.com/api/track-record/lead-time returns sample size, signal-conditioned base rate, precision, recall and misses for each stratum, and withholds any stratum that fails the publication floor rather than rounding it up.
Read-only by design. Fahali does not route orders, manage capital, or recommend trades — it proposes no positions and no hedges. It surfaces structured observation so you and your systems can decide. Past outcomes are published including the misses; future outcomes are uncertain.
No. Fahali is read-only by design — there is no order routing and no path to capital, and it proposes no positions and no hedges. It reports what it observes about the risk in a book; every decision, and every trade, stays with you.
Tickers and sizes are enough for a conditional stress read. A read-only broker connection lets the read stay current without re-entry. No credentials are ever accepted outside the app's own connection form.
No. It is conditional: it answers "if a shared adverse move of this size happened, this is what it would mean for this book" — the scenario is stated and the move itself is not being forecast. Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall are measurements taken from the book's own return history, not forward-looking estimates.
It reports that it cannot, and why — what evidence conflicted or was missing, and what would change the answer. Where too little of the book has usable history to stand behind a figure, it abstains instead of extrapolating. An absent measurement is shown as absent rather than replaced with a plausible substitute.
Nothing here is gated. Run a read on a sample book, or on your own, without an account.